The HousingCoach at Fathom Realty
The HousingCoach
Are Home Prices Dropping? Here’s the Real Story.

Are Home Prices Dropping? Here’s the Real Story.

by | Mar 4, 2026

Are Home Prices Dropping? Here’s the Real Story. Simplifying The Market

You’ve probably seen posts on social media talking about how “home prices are falling.” And when you see something like that, it’s normal to wonder:

Is this the start of a crash?

What does this mean for my house?

Let’s clear this up right away. This is not a crash. And your home is not suddenly losing a lot of value.

The National Story – Prices Are Still Going Up

Here’s what often gets left out of what you’re seeing online. While some markets are experiencing slight declines, they’re the minority. Most places are still seeing prices rise or at the very least, hold steady.

That’s why, at the national level, home prices are still rising, just at a slower pace. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR):

“Home prices continued to rise in the fourth quarter of 2025. National median prices rose 1.2% year over year to $414,900.”

That’s not the rapid growth of a few years ago, but it’s not a downturn either. And just to really drive this home, here’s a look at the data from NAR at a regional level, so you can see that the negative narrative spun up online isn’t the whole truth (see graph below):

a graph of a number of housesHome prices are up (or at least holding steady) in the Northeast, Midwest, and South. The West has seen some small declines in certain markets, but “small” is the key word.

There is no wave of falling prices across the country. Instead, there are just a few pockets adjusting after several years of what’s typically considered unsustainable or exponential growth.

Yes, Some Markets Have Come Down, But Look at the Bigger Picture.

Okay, but what about the places where prices have declined? According to ResiClub and Zillow, that’s not a cause for major concern. When you zoom out and look at those same markets over the past five years, the story changes (see graph below):

a graph of a number of percentIn the areas with recent declines, home values are still significantly higher than they were just five years ago. That’s a direct reflection of how much home values have gone up.

Online chatter tends to shine a spotlight on the few areas that are down. But the bigger picture shows most homeowners are still in a very strong position.

Of course, every market, and every home, is different. But broadly speaking, home values are holding steady. And this isn’t a sign of widespread trouble in the market.

Bottom Line

Despite what you may be seeing online, home prices are rising or holding steady in most parts of the country.

If you’re curious what your home is worth today, take a look at the numbers with a local real estate agent. Because context, and local expertise, matter more than what you’re seeing online.

The Hidden Advantage Repeat Buyers Have Right Now

The Hidden Advantage Repeat Buyers Have Right Now

by | Mar 2, 2026

The Hidden Advantage Repeat Buyers Have Right Now Simplifying The Market

What if you didn’t have a mortgage payment on your next house? It may sound a little unrealistic. But for a number of homeowners, it’s actually doable.

Nearly 3 in 10 homes purchased today are bought in cash, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That’s far more than the pre-pandemic norm (see graph below):

So, how are so many buyers pulling that off? The answer is simple: home equity.

Back in 2020-2021, mortgage rates and the number of homes for sale were both at all-time lows. And that combination pushed home prices up, fast.

If you owned a home during that time, it likely gained significant value – maybe even enough to buy your next house in cash. NAR explains:

“. . . rising home equity has armed many existing homeowners with the financial leverage to make cash offers, allowing them to convert years of price appreciation into immediate purchasing power.”

Here’s why you may want to go that route yourself, if you have enough equity to do it.

1. Your Offer Becomes More Attractive

Sellers value certainty. And an all-cash offer removes one of the biggest unknowns in a transaction: financing. As Rocket Mortgage explains:

“Cash offers are attractive to sellers. Sellers often prefer to work with cash buyers if they can because they don’t have to worry about a buyer’s financing falling through at the last minute.”

In many markets, an all-cash offer can give you a serious edge.

2. You Can Close Faster

And since you don’t have to worry about underwriting, lender approvals, and loan processing, the time it takes to close shrinks. Cotality puts it this way:

“Cash buyers have always enjoyed an edge over borrowers. They remove financing risk, reduce delays, and often close in days rather than weeks.”

If the owner of the house you’re buying is already under contract on their next home or they just need to move fast (like for a new job), that speed is a real draw.

3. You Won’t Have Monthly Mortgage Payments

When you buy in cash, you don’t have to finance your purchase. That means you don’t have to worry about what today’s mortgage rates are and you own the house outright from the day you close. And that’s a big deal.

No mortgage.

No monthly payment.

Full ownership.

That financial freedom opens the door for other big lifestyle benefits. Zillow explains:

“Paying in cash means you own your home outright. This eliminates the need for monthly mortgage payments, freeing up your finances for other priorities like savings, travel, or home improvements.”

4. You May Get a Better Deal

And here’s one more thing that surprises a lot of homeowners: cash buyers often pay less for the house.

According to Cotality, all-cash buyers tend to spend roughly 9% less on the house than buyers who use a mortgage. That’s because some sellers are willing to accept lower offers to get a deal done quickly, with more certainty of closing, and fewer financing hoops to jump through. As Cotality explains:

“From a seller’s point of view, a lower but reliable offer can feel preferable to a higher one that may collapse weeks later.”

And that advantage grows with each passing year (see graph below):

Is an All-Cash Move Realistic for You?

Not every homeowner will buy their next house outright in cash. And that’s okay.

But the bigger takeaway is this: the equity you’ve built may give you more options than you think. 

Whether that means downsizing and eliminating a mortgage entirely, or just relocating with stronger negotiating power, your current house may be what makes it possible.

Bottom Line

Before assuming you’ll need another traditional mortgage, it’s worth asking one simple question: How much equity do you really have? Because the answer might change what you thought your next move could look like.

Curious what your home equity could do for you? Ask a local real estate agent to run the numbers and see what kind of buying power you’re really sitting on.

The Real Reason Home Sales Slowed in January. And It’s Not What You Think.

The Real Reason Home Sales Slowed in January. And It’s Not What You Think.

by | Feb 18, 2026

The Real Reason Home Sales Slowed in January. And It’s Not What You Think. Simplifying The Market

If you saw headlines that talked about how “home sales fell sharply in January,” it probably raised an eyebrow – especially if you’re thinking about selling your house. But context matters.

Yes, in January, home sales declined. But that has more to do with seasonality and the weather than it does with any big drop off in demand. 

What’s Really Behind the Decline? 

Reports coming out of the National Association of Realtors (NAR) say the pace of home sales fell roughly 8.4% last month compared to the month before. And that’s true. But it isn’t necessarily cause for alarm. 

Data show it’s normal for sales to dip in January. In the last 4 years, that pattern has held true all but once. And sure, the decline we saw this year was a steeper drop off than the norm (the yellow bars on the right), but that can be explained too. More on that in a moment.

The really important part you’re not going to get from the headlines is this: typically speaking, the pace of home sales picks back up in February as the spring market starts to take off. That’s shown in the green bars below.

So even though the market slowed a bit momentarily, it should start to pick back up.

And just in case you’re wondering, why the bigger drop this year, especially with mortgage rates being lower than last year? Here’s your answer. As Realtor.com explains: 

“Winter storm Fern, which dumped snow and ice across large swaths of the country, likely disrupted some closings, weighing on the data and making it difficult to pick out the housing market momentum trend from the weather noise.”

This January, 40 states were hit with widespread winter weather according to the National Weather Service. And in real estate, that slows down the momentum. Here’s why.

Existing home sales data tracks closed transactions, not new contracts. So, if inspections, appraisals, or final walk-throughs get delayed by storms, those deals often slide into the next month instead of falling apart – especially when buyers and sellers are still trying to move forward.

Will Home Sales Pick Back Up?

January’s missing sales are more likely “postponed” than “lost.” They haven’t disappeared. They’re just taking a little longer to close. 

The rest of the data still points to a market that has traction heading into spring.

Affordability has improved for the 7th month in a row, and buyers are regaining negotiating power in many markets throughout the nation. So, this one monthly report doesn’t mean buyers aren’t buying. It just means, as weather warms up, activity should too.

Bottom Line

Don’t confuse a weather-impacted month with a market losing steam. If anything, improving affordability is an indicator of more activity to come, not less.

If you have questions about what you’re hearing online or in the news, reach out to a local real estate agent. Because the truth is, a little context can give you back your peace of mind.

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