If you’re looking to buy or sell a house, chances are you’ve heard talk about today’s rising home prices. And while this increase in home values is great news for sellers, you may be wondering what the future holds. Will prices continue to rise with time, or should you expect them to fall?
To answer that question, let’s first understand a few terms you may be hearing right now.
Appreciation is an increase in the value of an asset.
Depreciation is a decrease in the value of an asset.
Deceleration is when something happens at a slower pace.
It’s important to note home prices have increased, or appreciated, for 114 straight months. To find out if that trend may continue, look to the experts. Pulsenomics surveyed over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts asking for their five-year projections. In terms of what lies ahead, experts say the market may see some slight deceleration, but not depreciation.
Here’s the forecast for the next few years:As the graph above shows, prices are expected to continue to rise, just not at the same pace we’ve seen over the last year. Over 100 experts agree, there is no expectation for price depreciation. As the arrows indicate, each number is an increase, which means prices will rise each year.
Bill McBride, author of the blog Calculated Risk, also expects deceleration, but not depreciation:
“My sense is the Case-Shiller National annual growth rate of 19.7% is probably close to a peak, and that year-over-year price increases will slow later this year.”
“. . . home price appreciation is on the cusp of flipping to a deceleratingtrend.”
A recent article from realtor.com indicates you should expect:
“. . . annual price increases will slow to a more normal level, . . .”
What Does This Deceleration Mean for You?
What experts are projecting for the years ahead is more in line with the historical norm for appreciation. According to data from Black Knight, the average annual appreciation from 1995-2020 is 4.1%. As you can see from the chart above, the expert forecasts are closer to that pace, which means you should see appreciation at a level that’s aligned with a more normal year.
If you’re a buyer, don’t expect a sudden or drastic drop in home prices – experts say it won’t happen. Instead, think about your homeownership goals and consider purchasing a home before prices rise further.
If you’re a seller, the continued home price appreciation is good news for the value of your house. Work with an agent to list your house for the right price based on market conditions.
Bottom Line
Experts expect price deceleration, not price depreciation over the coming years. Let’s connect to talk through what’s happening in the housing market today, where things are headed, and what it means for you.
Let me start by saying that I am excited for you. The only reason that you would be reading this is because you have determined that owning a home may be right for you. It means that you are at least exploring the possibilities and considering what life would look like as a homeowner. That alone is exciting and a proposition that is full of promise.
Your reading this also means that I have a chance to earn the opportunity to help you to achieve Your Own Personal American Dream. One of the reasons that I love my job is because I get to help people just like you create and shape their lifestyle through homeownership. It is truly an honor when someone allows me that opportunity. So let me share with you how I can help.
All of our services start with a quick 15 – 30 minute coaching call which is a basic introductory consultation. On that call you take out your dream paint brush and start painting a picture of what your American Dream looks like. I will ask you some specific questions about your plans and qualifications and, if we both decide at the end of that call that we should move to the next stage, we will schedule your comprehensive buyer consultation.
Depending on your experience as a homeowner/future homeowner, right off the bat you will notice that my approach is much different than 98% or more of real estate agents that you may have talked to or even worked with in the past. Since 1989 I have been a full time REALTOR® and have had the privilege of helping hundreds of families, couples, and individuals buy and sell homes. I discovered along the way that the more time taken in planning and preparing up front, the more successful the home purchase or sale would be in the end.
As your HousingCoach℠ I will help you to develop and solid home buying game plan which will incorporate your current circumstances and your plans, goals, and dreams for the next 5, 10, or even 20 or more years into the future. Your success as a home buyer can be measured in how well you are equipped and prepared to find the home that best fits your plan, compete against other home buyers, negotiate with the seller from a place of strength, and complete the transaction with as few hassles as possible.
Once we decide to work together I will help you to build out your Home Buying Game Plan, assemble your Home Buying Real Estate Team, structure and activate an automated Home Search Process, prepare you to have the best competitive advantage, negotiate on your behalf to get the best possible deal, and coordinate all of the transaction requirements and activities until the deal is closed.
My goal is that in the process of helping you to achieve Your Personal American Dream, that you are provided a personal level of service such that you feel compelled to refer me and my services to your family, friends, co-workers, and people you care about. That is how I will know I did my job well.
If you’re thinking of selling your house but don’t know what you should buy, you have options.
Existing homes offer a wide variety of home styles, an established neighborhood, and lived-in charm. Meanwhile, new home construction lets you create your perfect home, cash in on energy efficiency, and minimize repairs.
Whether you’re looking for newly built or existing homes, both have their perks. If you’re ready to sell your house, let’s connect today to go over the perks of both existing and newly built homes to find out what’s right for you.
Sellers have a great opportunity this season as buyer demand still heavily outweighs the current supply of homes for sale. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), today’s housing inventory sits at only a 2.6-month supply. To put that into perspective, a neutral market typically features a 6-month supply. That places today’s market firmly in the sellers’ market category.
That same NAR data also shows today’s inventory of single-family homes is trailing behind the level we saw last year (see graph below):Because of the ongoing supply challenges, buyers can feel like they’re wandering across a vast, empty desert when searching for their next home. That means your house could provide an oasis for buyers thirsty for options – and it could increase the chances of buyers entering a bidding war for your home.
The latest Realtors Confidence Index Survey from NAR shows houses are receiving an average of 3.8 offers. A multiple-offer scenario lets you select the best offer and gives you incredible leverage when you sell this fall.
Bottom Line
Buyers today are looking for relief as they wander today’s inventory desert. Listing your house this fall – before more options appear – gives your house the best chance to be noticed by multiple buyers. Let’s connect today so your house can stand out as the oasis it truly is.
The best advice carries across multiple areas of life. When it comes to homebuying, a few simple tips can help you stay on track.
Because of increased demand, you’ll need to be patient and embrace compromises during your search. Then, once you’ve fallen in love, commit by putting your best offer forward.
If you’re looking to buy a home this year, let’s connect so you have a dedicated partner and teammate to help you find the one.
As the graph above shows, prices are expected to continue to rise, just not at the same pace we’ve seen over the last year. Over 100 experts agree, there is no expectation for price depreciation. As the arrows indicate, each number is an increase, which means prices will rise each year.
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