After several years of rising home prices and volatile mortgage rates, it looks like the housing market will start to head in a more normal direction in 2025 – at least according to the latest forecasts. And if you’ve been thinking about making a move, that means the uncertainty that could’ve been throwing off your plans may be coming to a close.

 Here’s a look at the latest expert forecasts on two of the biggest factors expected to shape the market in the year ahead.

 Will Mortgage Rates Come Down?

 Everyone’s keeping an eye on mortgage rates, and they’re projected to settle in the mid-6% range by the end of the year (see chart below):

But remember, rate projections will continue to shift as new information becomes available. Expert forecasts are based on what they know right now. If there’s increasing uncertainty around inflation, employment, government policies, or other key economic drivers, mortgage rates will move. So, don’t get caught up in the exact numbers or try to time the market. Instead, focus on the fact that a bit more stability in rates isn’t a bad thing – and even a small change can help your bottom line. 

A trusted lender and your RE/MAX^® agent will make sure you always have the latest data and the context to understand what it really means for you and your monthly payment. 

Will Home Prices Fall? 

The short answer? Not likely. Home prices are projected to keep rising in most areas – just at a slower, more normal pace. If you average the expert forecasts together, you’ll see prices are expected to go up by about 2.7%, with the majority of the projections hitting somewhere in the 3 to 4% range by the end of the year. And that’s a much more typical and sustainable rise (see graph below):

So, don’t expect a sudden drop that’ll score you a big deal if you’re thinking of buying this year. While that may sound disappointing if you’re hoping prices will come down, refocus on this. It means you won’t have to deal with the steep increases the market felt in recent years, and you’ll also likely see any home you do buy go up in value after you get the keys in hand. And that’s a good thing.

Prices normalizing is a welcome sign after years of unsustainable home price growth. It means we’re moving into a healthier market. And that’s something we haven’t been able to say in a while.

And if you’re wondering how it’s even possible prices are still rising, here’s your answer. It all comes down to supply and demand. Even though there are more homes for sale now than there were just a year ago, there still aren’t enough houses on the market to keep up with all the buyers out there.

Keep in mind, though, the housing market is hyper-local. So, this will vary by area. Some markets will see even higher price appreciation. And some may see prices level off or even dip slightly. In most markets though, prices will continue to rise (as they usually do).

If you want to find out what’s happening where we live, you need to lean on your local RE/MAX^® agent who can explain the latest trends and what they mean for your plans.

Bottom Line

The housing market is shifting, and the experts say 2025 will move toward a more normal, healthier pace for the year. With rates stabilizing and home prices rising at a more typical and sustainable rate, it’s all about staying informed and making a plan that works for you.

What mortgage rate are you waiting for to make your move? Tell me your number, and I’ll show you how the math works out for your monthly mortgage payment. It may be more attainable this spring than you think.

There’s no doubt today’s housing market is very different than the frenzied one from the past couple of years. In the second half of 2022, there was a dramatic shift in real estate, and it caused many people to make comparisons to the 2008 housing crisis. While there may be a few similarities, when looking at key variables now compared to the last housing cycle, there are significant differences. (more…)

Home equity has been a hot topic in real estate news lately. And if you’ve been following along, you may have heard there’s a growing number of homeowners with negative equity. But don’t let those headlines scare you. In truth, the headlines don’t give you all the information you really need to understand what’s happening and at what scale. Let’s break down one of the big equity stories you may be seeing in the news, and what’s actually taking place. That way, you’ll have the context you need to understand the big picture.

Headlines Focus on Short-Term Equity Numbers and Fail To Convey the Long-Term View

One piece of news circulating focuses on the percentage of homes purchased in 2022 that are currently underwater. The term underwater refers to a scenario where the homeowner owes more on the loan than the house is worth. This was a huge issue when the housing market crashed in 2008, but it much less significant today. Media coverage right now is based loosely on a report from Black Knight, Inc. The actual report from that source says this:

“Of all homes purchased with a mortgage in 2022, 8% are now at least marginally underwater and nearly 40% have less than 10% equity stakes in their home, . . .”

Let’s unpack that for a moment and provide the bigger picture. The data-bound report from Black Knight is talking specifically about homes purchased in 2022, but media headlines don’t always mention that timeframe or provide the surrounding context about how unusual of a year 2022 was for the housing market. In 2022, home price appreciation soared, and it reached its max around March-April. Since then, the rate of appreciation has been slowing down. Homeowners who bought their house last year right at the peak or those who paid more than market value in the months that followed are more likely to fall into the category of being marginally underwater. The qualifier marginally is another key piece of the puzzle the media isn’t necessarily including in their coverage. So, what does that mean for those who purchased a home in 2022? It’s important to remember, owning a home is a long-term investment, not a short-term play. When headlines focus on the short-term view, they’re not necessarily providing the full context. Typically speaking, the longer you stay in your home, the more equity you gain as you pay down your loan and as home prices appreciate. With recent market conditions, you may not have gained significant equity right away if you owned the home for just a few months. But it’s also true that many homeowners who recently bought their house are unlikely to be looking to sell quite yet.

Bottom Line

As with everything, knowing the context is important. If you have questions about real estate headlines or about how much equity you have in your home, let’s connect.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home soon, you probably want to know what you can expect from the housing market this year. In 2022, the market underwent a major shift as economic uncertainty and higher mortgage rates reduced buyer demand, slowed the pace of home sales, and moderated home prices. But what about 2023? (more…)

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Some Highlights

• If you’re planning to buy a home in 2023, here are a few things to focus on.
• Work on your credit and save for a down payment. If saving feels like a challenge, there’s help available. Then, get pre-approved, create a list of desired features, and prioritize them.
• Reach out to a real estate professional so you have expert advice on how to reach your homebuying goals this year.